The Cherry Leaf Roll Virus (clrv) on Walnut in the Republic of Moldova

Conclusions. We have concluded etiological prognoses of influenza epidemics in Ukraine through last 12 years. Data toward accordance of prognoses and actually leading strain of influenza viruses in country has shown that prognoses had been confirmed entirely in 50%. In 25% of cases prognoses were confirmed partly. And in 25 % of cases prognoses were not justified. The demand of annual etiological prognostication is determined by the strain-dependent immune response to influenza viruses. It means that only actual vaccines must be used for the prophylactic of flu. An influenza vaccine does not produce in Ukraine. In this reason, we should pay more attention to leading infectious agent of next season for vaccines purchase. Thereby, 12 epidemics have happened during surveillance influenza viruses. Our etiological prognoses were completely or partly approved in 75 % of cases. 1. CDC protocol of realtime RT-PCR for swine influenza A(H1N1) revision 1. 2009. Available at: http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/swineflu/ realtimeptpcr/en/index.html. 2. Lapedes A., Farber R. The geometry of shape space: application to influenza //J. Theoretical Biology – 2001. – Vol. 212. – P.57-69. 2. Mironenko A. The Etiology of Influenza Epidemics in 1995-2003 in Ukraine. Strengthening Influenza Pandemic Preparedness through Civil-Military Cooperation, J. Neville and O.I. Kisilev (Eds.) // IOS Press. – 2005. – P. 15. 3. Nguen-Van-Tam J. S. Epidemiology of Influenza // Textbook of Influenza. – Blackwell Science, 1998. – P. 181-184. 4. Smith G., Vijaykrishna D., Bahl J., et al. Origins and evolutionary genomics of the 2009 swine-origin H1N1 influenza A epidemic // Nature. – 2009. – V. 459, P. 1122–1125. ぞ í Ñ: ú ü¿ í Ñ Ü ë ñ Ñ¡ Ü ¿ ñÇ : ; 22 .1 1 . 10